Our extensive due diligence, accounting analysis, and review of Chinese SAIC filings suggests to us that WUBA is an accounting house of cards with little economic substance.
We believe that WUBA has failed to disclose that its biggest acquisition Ganji, acquired for $2.8bn, has seen its revenue plummet by over 95% since the acquisition by WUBA.
Our web traffic analysis supports our opinion that Ganji is a failing business. Yet, Ganji is still touted as one of WUBA’s core assets.
Assets related to Ganji currently make up $2.1bn or over 50% of WUBA’s shareholder equity and we believe should be impaired in light of our findings. We call on the company’s auditor PWC Zhongtian and regulators to look into the questions and issues we outline in this report.
SAIC filings suggest that WUBA has been inflating the financials it reports to the SEC.
Revenues in the last three years for the overall company are overstated by a cumulative RMB 4.6 billion.
We also see a pattern where the best businesses are spun off at deflated prices to insiders, and less successful business segments are kept in the public company and dressed up to make the financials appear better.
WUBA spun off its peer-to-peer car sales platform Guazi to its former Co-Chairman for effectively no consideration – our analysis suggests to us that WUBA effectively gifted its former Co-Chairman over $ 1.7 billion.
WUBA spun-off its online finance business to its CEO in an arcane deal that seemed to be aimed at enriching insiders at the cost of public shareholders.
Our accounting analysis of SEC filings shows that the company employs what we believe to be many accounting shenanigans that seem to be aimed at dressing up SEC financials. WUBA seems to try to avoid consolidating entities whose financials do not look favorable.
Our fundamental analysis of WUBA shows that the company’s core business is facing numerous headwinds, including an unfavorable environment for housing and job market. These issues are only emphasized by the recent health crisis in China.
While WUBA raises money from US shareholders on the back of what we believe to be fraudulent financials, insiders at the company are getting rich.
THIS REPORT AND ALL STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN ARE THE OPINIONS OF GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC AND ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF FACT.
Reports are based on generally available information, field research, inferences and deductions through Grizzly Research LLC’s due diligence and analytical process.
Our opinions are held in good faith, and we have based them upon publicly available facts and evidence collected and analyzed including our understanding of representations made by the management of the companies we analyze, all of which we set out in our research reports to support our opinions, all of which we set out herein. HOWEVER, THEY REMAIN OUR OPINIONS AND BELIEFS ONLY.
We conducted research and analysis based on public information in a manner that any person could have done if they had been interested in doing so. You can publicly access any piece of evidence cited in this report or that we relied on to write this report.
Grizzly Research LLC makes no representation, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of any such information or with regard to the results to be obtained from its use.
We are entitled to our opinions and to the right to express such opinions in a public forum. We believe that the publication of our opinions and the underlying facts about the public companies we research is in the public interest, and that publication is justified due to the fact that public investors and the market are connected in a common interest in the true value and share price of the public companies we research. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice, Grizzly Research LLC does not undertake a duty to update or supplement this report or any of the information contained herein.
Recipients of the research report are professional investors who are expected to make their own judgment as to any reliance that they place on the research report. You represent that you have sufficient investment sophistication to critically assess the information, analysis and opinion on this website.
You further agree that you will not communicate the contents of reports and other materials on this site to any other person unless that person has agreed to be bound by these Terms of Use. If you access this website, download or receive the contents of reports or other materials on this website on your own behalf, you agree to and shall be bound by these Terms of Use. If you access our website, download or receive the contents of reports or other materials on this website as an agent for any other person, you are binding your principal to these same Terms of Use.
As of the publication date of GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC’S report, Certain GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC Associated Persons (AS DEFINED HEREUNDER) (along with or through its members, partners, affiliates, employees, and/or consultants), clients, and investors, and/or their clients and investors have a short position in the securities of a Covered Issuer (and options, swaps, and other derivatives related to these securities), and therefore will realize significant gains in the event that the prices of a Covered Issuer’s securities decline. GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC and GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC Associated Persons are likely to continue to transact in Covered Issuers’ securities for an indefinite period after an initial report on a Covered Issuer, and such position(s) may be long, short, or neutral at any time hereafter regardless of their initial position(s) and views as stated in GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC’S research. One or more GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC associated Persons have provided GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC with publicly available information that GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC has included in this report, following GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC’S independent due diligence. YOU SHOULD DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION WITH RESPECT TO THE SECURITIES COVERED HEREIN. THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED IN THIS REPORT ARE NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE NOR SHOULD THEY BE CONSTRUED AS INVESTMENT ADVICE OR ANY RECOMMENDATION OF ANY KIND. FOLLOWING PUBLICATION OF THIS REPORT, WE MAY CONTINUE TRANSACTING IN THE SECURITIES COVERED THEREIN, AND WE MAY BE LONG, SHORT, OR NEUTRAL AT ANY TIME HEREAFTER REGARDLESS OF OUR INITIAL OPINION.
To the best of our ability and belief, all information contained herein is accurate and reliable, and has been obtained from public sources we believe to be accurate and reliable, and who are not insiders or connected persons of the stock covered herein or who may otherwise owe any fiduciary duty or duty of confidentiality to the issuer. Note that researched companies and insiders, agents, and legal representatives of researched companies and other entities mentioned herein may be in possession of material non-public information that may be relevant to the matters discussed herein. Do not presume that any person or company mentioned herein has reviewed our report prior to its publication.
This is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, nor shall any security be offered or sold to any person, in any jurisdiction in which such offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
By downloading and opening this report you knowingly and independently agree: (i) that any dispute arising from your use of this report or viewing the material herein shall be governed by the laws of the State of [New York], without regard to any conflict of law provisions; (ii) to submit to the personal and exclusive jurisdiction of the superior courts located within the State of [New York] and waive your right to any other jurisdiction or applicable law, given that Grizzly Research LLC is a Delaware limited liability company; and (iii) that regardless of any statute or law to the contrary, any claim or cause of action arising out of or related to use of this website or the material herein must be filed within one (1) year after such claim or cause of action arose or be forever barred. The failure of Grizzly Research LLC to exercise or enforce any right or provision of this disclaimer shall not constitute a waiver of this right or provision. If any provision of this disclaimer is found by a court of competent jurisdiction to be invalid, the parties nevertheless agree that the court should endeavor to give effect to the parties’ intentions as rejected in the provision and rule that the other provisions of this disclaimer remain in full force and effect, in particular as to this governing law and jurisdiction provision. You agree that the information on this website is copyrighted, and you therefore agree not to distribute this information (whether the downloaded _le, copies / images / reproductions, or the link to these _les) in any manner other than by providing the following link: http://GRIZZLYREPORTS.COM . If you have obtained research published by Grizzly Research LLC in any manner other than by download from that link, you may not read such research without going to that link and agreeing to the Terms of Use on the Grizzly Research LLC designated website.
“Grizzly Research LLC Associated Person” is defined as: Grizzly Research LLC and its affiliates and related parties, including, but not limited to, any principals, officers, directors, employees, members, clients, investors, consultants, and agents.
IMPORTANT LEGAL DISCLAIMER
THIS REPORT AND ALL STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN ARE THE OPINIONS OF GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC AND ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF FACT.
Reports are based on generally available information, field research, inferences and deductions through Grizzly Research LLC’s due diligence and analytical process.
Our opinions are held in good faith, and we have based them upon publicly available facts and evidence collected and analyzed including our understanding of representations made by the management of the companies we analyze, all of which we set out in our research reports to support our opinions, all of which we set out herein. HOWEVER, THEY REMAIN OUR OPINIONS AND BELIEFS ONLY.
We conducted research and analysis based on public information in a manner that any person could have done if they had been interested in doing so. You can publicly access any piece of evidence cited in this report or that we relied on to write this report.
Grizzly Research LLC makes no representation, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of any such information or with regard to the results to be obtained from its use.
We are entitled to our opinions and to the right to express such opinions in a public forum. We believe that the publication of our opinions and the underlying facts about the public companies we research is in the public interest, and that publication is justified due to the fact that public investors and the market are connected in a common interest in the true value and share price of the public companies we research. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice, Grizzly Research LLC does not undertake a duty to update or supplement this report or any of the information contained herein.
Recipients of the research report are professional investors who are expected to make their own judgment as to any reliance that they place on the research report. You represent that you have sufficient investment sophistication to critically assess the information, analysis and opinion on this website.
You further agree that you will not communicate the contents of reports and other materials on this site to any other person unless that person has agreed to be bound by these Terms of Use. If you access this website, download or receive the contents of reports or other materials on this website on your own behalf, you agree to and shall be bound by these Terms of Use. If you access our website, download or receive the contents of reports or other materials on this website as an agent for any other person, you are binding your principal to these same Terms of Use.
As of the publication date of GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC’S report, Certain GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC Associated Persons (AS DEFINED HEREUNDER) (along with or through its members, partners, affiliates, employees, and/or consultants), clients, and investors, and/or their clients and investors have a short position in the securities of a Covered Issuer (and options, swaps, and other derivatives related to these securities), and therefore will realize significant gains in the event that the prices of a Covered Issuer’s securities decline. GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC and GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC Associated Persons are likely to continue to transact in Covered Issuers’ securities for an indefinite period after an initial report on a Covered Issuer, and such position(s) may be long, short, or neutral at any time hereafter regardless of their initial position(s) and views as stated in GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC’S research. One or more GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC associated Persons have provided GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC with publicly available information that GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC has included in this report, following GRIZZLY RESEARCH LLC’S independent due diligence. YOU SHOULD DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION WITH RESPECT TO THE SECURITIES COVERED HEREIN. THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED IN THIS REPORT ARE NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE NOR SHOULD THEY BE CONSTRUED AS INVESTMENT ADVICE OR ANY RECOMMENDATION OF ANY KIND. FOLLOWING PUBLICATION OF THIS REPORT, WE MAY CONTINUE TRANSACTING IN THE SECURITIES COVERED THEREIN, AND WE MAY BE LONG, SHORT, OR NEUTRAL AT ANY TIME HEREAFTER REGARDLESS OF OUR INITIAL OPINION.
To the best of our ability and belief, all information contained herein is accurate and reliable, and has been obtained from public sources we believe to be accurate and reliable, and who are not insiders or connected persons of the stock covered herein or who may otherwise owe any fiduciary duty or duty of confidentiality to the issuer. Note that researched companies and insiders, agents, and legal representatives of researched companies and other entities mentioned herein may be in possession of material non-public information that may be relevant to the matters discussed herein. Do not presume that any person or company mentioned herein has reviewed our report prior to its publication.
This is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, nor shall any security be offered or sold to any person, in any jurisdiction in which such offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
By downloading and opening this report you knowingly and independently agree: (i) that any dispute arising from your use of this report or viewing the material herein shall be governed by the laws of the State of [New York], without regard to any conflict of law provisions; (ii) to submit to the personal and exclusive jurisdiction of the superior courts located within the State of [New York] and waive your right to any other jurisdiction or applicable law, given that Grizzly Research LLC is a Delaware limited liability company; and (iii) that regardless of any statute or law to the contrary, any claim or cause of action arising out of or related to use of this website or the material herein must be filed within one (1) year after such claim or cause of action arose or be forever barred. The failure of Grizzly Research LLC to exercise or enforce any right or provision of this disclaimer shall not constitute a waiver of this right or provision. If any provision of this disclaimer is found by a court of competent jurisdiction to be invalid, the parties nevertheless agree that the court should endeavor to give effect to the parties’ intentions as rejected in the provision and rule that the other provisions of this disclaimer remain in full force and effect, in particular as to this governing law and jurisdiction provision. You agree that the information on this website is copyrighted, and you therefore agree not to distribute this information (whether the downloaded _le, copies / images / reproductions, or the link to these _les) in any manner other than by providing the following link: http://GRIZZLYREPORTS.COM . If you have obtained research published by Grizzly Research LLC in any manner other than by download from that link, you may not read such research without going to that link and agreeing to the Terms of Use on the Grizzly Research LLC designated website.
“Grizzly Research LLC Associated Person” is defined as: Grizzly Research LLC and its affiliates and related parties, including, but not limited to, any principals, officers, directors, employees, members, clients, investors, consultants, and agents.
